Chaos
and Financial Character Development
In
the late 1980's a book was written by James Gleick which shocked the
scientific
world, and was replete with revelations that extended into the capital
markets.
The book was CHAOS, and
this new form of mathematics was unique because it maintained that
systems
which seemed random and chaotic, were not. It proposed that these
systems were non-linear functions which could be predictable.
At the same time one
of
my good friends, a brilliant mathematician, was retooling
thermodynamic
mathematics, and independently discovered Chaos Math. He
discovered
he was able to discern a non-linear equation from simply digesting
20-30
numbers in a system. His program then created the equation and
could
predict the next numbers in the sequence. When he realized
that his program worked, he was frozen in excitement because of its
implications.
There are applications to systems that previously were thought
unmanageable
like cardiac arrhythmia, weather prediction, global warming models, and
the stock market.
I quickly realized
that
my mathematician friend's program could be applied to the financial
markets,
and to that end, started working in fusing together his mathematics
with
my knowledge of capital markets.
We spent thousands of
hours,
along with a small passionate research group, in creating a system that
would work. The intense research began in 1991, and we had
several
failures. At times we felt like we were trying to hit a moving
object,
an object that could never be corralled. We applied the
mathematics
only
to the S & P Futures, which we found to be the most easily
predictable
system. Finally, after a series of mazes and false turns, we
could
see the light at the end of the tunnel by the year 1995.
All the people in our
group
could taste victory, and the fact that there were published reports of
major groups attempting what we were doing with hundreds of millions of
dollars of capital, and huge research teams, and failing, made
us
proud and intensely motivated to finish.
By 1996, our
system
was almost the mathematical equivalent of Michelangelo's sculpture of
David.
There were a few more strokes of the hammer and chisel, but the
simplistic
powerful beauty of the mathematics was apparent. We had achieved
something altogether original, a 21st century paradigm finished in the
tail end of the 20th century.
I
believe that this journey will be one of the most rewarding journeys of
this and the next century, and I am proud, along with my research
group,
to be pioneers of cutting-edge science, which may ensure that our
grandchildren
will have a world to live in.
Sincerely,
Dan Giedt
President, Chaos Enterprises
How to Become a
Thrust-Trader
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